Minneapolis City 2-1 Thunder Bay Chill — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+0.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.7pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minneapolis City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Thunder Bay Chill EU Bookmakers 53%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
0.00/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-100% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
377 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minneapolis City
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Thunder Bay Chill
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2024 Thunder Bay Chill Thunder Bay Chill 3-2 HT 3-1 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City USL2
06.06.2024 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 1-0 HT 1-0 Thunder Bay Chill Thunder Bay Chill USL2
08.07.2023 Thunder Bay Chill Thunder Bay Chill 2-2 HT 1-0 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City USL2
29.06.2023 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 1-3 HT 0-2 Thunder Bay Chill Thunder Bay Chill USL2
07.07.2022 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 1-2 HT 0-1 Thunder Bay Chill Thunder Bay Chill USL2
POST-MATCH Minneapolis City vs Thunder Bay Chill
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minneapolis City edged past Thunder Bay Chill 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Thunder Bay Chill at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Thunder Bay Chill led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Minneapolis City and 2.00 for Thunder Bay Chill.

What was the final score of Minneapolis City vs Thunder Bay Chill?

Minneapolis City 2-1 Thunder Bay Chill in the USA - USL League 2 on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minneapolis City vs Thunder Bay Chill?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thunder Bay Chill win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Minneapolis City 24%, draw 26%, Thunder Bay Chill 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thunder Bay Chill) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thunder Bay Chill) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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