Cuniburo FC 1-1 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 38%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
0.83/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.35
-66% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.1 Crosses 19.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuniburo FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.31 xG 2.12
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 28
7 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 13
137 Passes 157
57% Pass Accuracy 61%
19 Box Touches 37
7 Crosses 58
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-2 HT 0-2 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuniburo FC
1-1
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.60 xG 0.74
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
351 Passes 170
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 17
33 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cuniburo FC vs Mushuc Runa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuniburo FC and Mushuc Runa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Cuniburo FC had 65% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 35%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.60 to 0.74.

What was the final score of Cuniburo FC vs Mushuc Runa?

Cuniburo FC 1-1 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuniburo FC vs Mushuc Runa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuniburo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cuniburo FC 40%, draw 28%, Mushuc Runa 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cuniburo FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cuniburo FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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