LDU Quito 2-0 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.63/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.55
+4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +0%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
381 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
22.2 Crosses 14.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Emelec
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.45 xG 0.97
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 Passes 252
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2025 Emelec Emelec 1-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
03.11.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
12.05.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-2 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
23.10.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
15.05.2023 Emelec Emelec 1-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
15.08.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
2-0
AWAY Emelec
2.51 xG 0.34
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
327 Passes 215
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Emelec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito got the better of Emelec 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, LDU Quito had 57% of the ball to Emelec's 43%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 2.51 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for LDU Quito and 0.67 for Emelec.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Emelec?

LDU Quito 2-0 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 57%, draw 23%, Emelec 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ BTTS No
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