Oulu vs KTP Kotka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oulu v KTP Kotka — Team-Based Signals
Oulu vs KTP Kotka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
KTP Kotka
FİN
3-1
HT 1-0
KTP Kotka
FİN
1-2
HT 1-0
Oulu
FİK
0-2
HT 0-1
Oulu
FİN
2-1
HT 1-1
KTP Kotka
FİN
Oulu 3-2 KTP Kotka — Actual Match Statistics
Oulu squeezed past KTP Kotka 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Oulu as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Oulu had 52% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 48%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.03 to 0.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Oulu's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Oulu and 0.67 for KTP Kotka.
What was the final score of Oulu vs KTP Kotka?
Oulu 3-2 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oulu vs KTP Kotka?
Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Oulu 52%, draw 27%, KTP Kotka 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oulu), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.