Gnistan 2-0 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 13 Jul 2025

Gnistan
2-0 HT 0-0
Haka
📅13/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.23
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
9.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.23 — our 25% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.98
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
13%
5.17
X/2
8%
6.78
X/X
12%
5.47
2/1
7%
22.9
2/2
17%
4.51
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 34%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.64/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.50
+30% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
24.0 Crosses 15.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Haka
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.66 xG 1.93
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 6
307 Passes 388
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 27
28 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.06.2025 Haka Haka 3-2 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİK
05.04.2025 Haka Haka 3-2 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
23.02.2025 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FLK
26.10.2024 Haka Haka 3-3 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
28.07.2024 Haka Haka 1-2 HT 0-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
05.05.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 0-3 HT 0-2 Haka Haka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
2-0
AWAY Haka
1.56 xG 1.23
30% Ball Possession 70%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
142 Passes 439
65% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 42
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan beat Haka 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gnistan as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gnistan had 30% of the ball to Haka's 70%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.56 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haka led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gnistan and 2.50 for Haka.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs Haka?

Gnistan 2-0 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 41%, draw 27%, Haka 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gnistan) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gnistan) ✗ BTTS Yes
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