Haka 3-2 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 11 Jun 2025

Haka
3-2 HT 1-1
Gnistan
📅11/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 32%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.10/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.34
-41% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -62%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gnistan
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.93 xG 1.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
388 Passes 307
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 28
27 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Haka Haka 3-2 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
23.02.2025 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FLK
26.10.2024 Haka Haka 3-3 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
28.07.2024 Haka Haka 1-2 HT 0-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
05.05.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 0-3 HT 0-2 Haka Haka FİN
08.09.2017 Gnistan Gnistan 1-1 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
3-2
AWAY Gnistan
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Haka vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka squeezed past Gnistan 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Haka as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Haka had 48% of the ball to Gnistan's 52%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haka had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Haka and 1.67 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of Haka vs Gnistan?

Haka 3-2 Gnistan in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Haka 48%, draw 26%, Gnistan 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Haka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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