Klubi-04 4-3 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 11 Jun 2025

📅11/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.61
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.65
2-3 Goals
37%
2.03
4-5 Goals
29%
2.51
6+ Goals
11%
5.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
16%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.5pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.1pp
56%
Away Win
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Klubi-04 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Klubi-04
0W-0D-1L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
28.01.2018 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 4-2 HT 3-2 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Klubi-04
4-3
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Klubi-04 vs IFK Mariehamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Klubi-04 nicked a narrow win over IFK Mariehamn 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had IFK Mariehamn at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Klubi-04 had 47% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 53%, shots finished 8-19.

What was the final score of Klubi-04 vs IFK Mariehamn?

Klubi-04 4-3 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Klubi-04 vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Mariehamn win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Klubi-04 26%, draw 18%, IFK Mariehamn 56%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Mariehamn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Mariehamn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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