Mikkeli 0-1 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 11 Jun 2025

📅11/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.78
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
56%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.59
Over 2.5
46%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
5.45
2-3 Goals
39%
2.01
4-5 Goals
21%
2.53
6+ Goals
11%
5.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.45 — our 29% vs market 13.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.1pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.2pp
56%
Away Win
74%
-17.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
35%
+18.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
65%
-18.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.1pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 78%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
0.97/2.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.35
+29% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +111%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mikkeli
0-1
AWAY HJK Helsinki
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mikkeli vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki squeezed past Mikkeli 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mikkeli had 46% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 54%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Mikkeli vs HJK Helsinki?

Mikkeli 0-1 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 21%, draw 23%, HJK Helsinki 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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