Jaro 2-2 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 11 Jun 2025

Jaro
2-2 HT 1-2
VPS
📅11/06/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
4.66
6+ Goals
11%
24.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.99
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
14%
6.45
X/2
15%
4.97
X/X
12%
4.03
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.34
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 35.0 — our 11% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-29% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
1W-2D-3L
AWAY VPS
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 1.57
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
234 Passes 445
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 VPS VPS 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
25.01.2025 VPS VPS 2-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FLK
23.10.2021 VPS VPS 0-1 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FINY
28.07.2021 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
23.05.2021 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN2
20.02.2021 VPS VPS 3-1 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
2-2
AWAY VPS
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jaro vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro and VPS shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jaro had 59% of the ball to VPS's 41%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jaro and 1.33 for VPS.

What was the final score of Jaro vs VPS?

Jaro 2-2 VPS in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 11/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated an VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jaro 36%, draw 26%, VPS 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VPS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VPS) ✓ BTTS Yes
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