VPS 0-0 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 17 May 2025

VPS
0-0 HT 0-0
Jaro
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
3.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 24% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.25
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
13%
4.27
X/2
12%
9.37
X/X
6%
5.23
2/1
6%
23.3
2/2
10%
7.45
2/X
7%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.0pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.0pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
2.30/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.27
+18% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +139%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
22.2 Crosses 15.4
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jaro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 VPS VPS 2-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FLK
23.10.2021 VPS VPS 0-1 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FINY
28.07.2021 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
23.05.2021 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN2
20.02.2021 VPS VPS 3-1 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİK
30.09.2020 VPS VPS 1-3 HT 0-2 Jaro Jaro FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
0-0
AWAY Jaro
1.57 xG 1.08
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
445 Passes 234
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VPS vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS and Jaro played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was VPS at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, VPS had 63% of the ball to Jaro's 37%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.57 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for VPS and 1.17 for Jaro.

What was the final score of VPS vs Jaro?

VPS 0-0 Jaro in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split VPS 51%, draw 19%, Jaro 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (VPS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VPS) ✓ BTTS No
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