Inter Turku 3-1 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.55
No
56%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
3.07
6+ Goals
9%
9.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.35 — our 29% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.12
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
14%
5.4
X/2
9%
6.64
X/X
10%
5.4
2/1
6%
23.3
2/2
18%
4.29
2/X
12%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
60%
-16.1pp
56%
BTTS No
40%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
2.12/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.07
+14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 82%
33.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
18.2 Crosses 15.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.38 xG 1.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 Passes 408
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-4 HT 0-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
12.06.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
22.05.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-0 HT 2-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
09.03.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
27.06.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-1 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
15.04.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-1 HT 2-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
3-1
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.43 xG 0.63
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
433 Passes 391
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku got the better of Ilves Tampere 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Inter Turku found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inter Turku had 51% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 49%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.43 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Inter Turku and 1.33 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs Ilves Tampere?

Inter Turku 3-1 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 39%, draw 27%, Ilves Tampere 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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