Haka 1-2 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 28 Jul 2024

Haka
1-2 HT 0-1
Gnistan
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
14%
8.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.07
1/2
12%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
8%
5.33
X/2
10%
6.49
X/X
16%
5.34
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
14%
4.05
2/X
7%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.1pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.65/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.56
+18% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
20.6 Crosses 24.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Gnistan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.41 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
330 Passes 430
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 4
05.05.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 0-3 HT 0-2 Haka Haka FİN
08.09.2017 Gnistan Gnistan 1-1 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN2
19.07.2017 Haka Haka 2-1 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
17.05.2017 Gnistan Gnistan 0-2 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
1-2
AWAY Gnistan
1.20 xG 1.26
70% Ball Possession 30%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 7
443 Passes 148
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 24
42 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Haka vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan nicked a narrow win over Haka 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Gnistan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Haka had 70% of the ball to Gnistan's 30%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.20 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Haka had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Haka and 0.50 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of Haka vs Gnistan?

Haka 1-2 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Haka 35%, draw 28%, Gnistan 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gnistan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gnistan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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