EIF 1-2 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.5
6+ Goals
8%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 31% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.13
1/2
5%
23.6
1/X
6%
17.35
X/1
8%
11.25
X/2
22%
3.68
X/X
15%
5.36
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.97
2/X
4%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-5.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EIF EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 62%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
1.22/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.48
+11% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +53%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
14.8 Crosses 17.0
4.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EIF
0W-0D-3L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.52 xG 2.66
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
264 Passes 468
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 33
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
03.07.2024 EIF EIF 0-2 HT 0-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
26.05.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-1 HT 2-1 EIF EIF FİN
26.05.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 5-1 HT 1-0 EIF EIF FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EIF
1-2
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.21 xG 3.27
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 14
313 Passes 509
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 52
7 Crosses 40
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH EIF vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio edged past EIF 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, EIF had 39% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 61%, shots finished 9-25, expected goals 1.21 to 3.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold KuPS Kuopio's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for EIF and 3.67 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of EIF vs KuPS Kuopio?

EIF 1-2 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EIF vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split EIF 22%, draw 26%, KuPS Kuopio 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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