Haka 2-2 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 23 Feb 2025

Haka
2-2 HT 1-1
Gnistan
📅23/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
18%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
7.53
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.35 — our 32% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-7.2pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.9pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.1pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 38%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.65/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+100% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
289 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gnistan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.55 xG 1.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
408 Passes 341
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 28
28 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Haka Haka 3-3 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
28.07.2024 Haka Haka 1-2 HT 0-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
05.05.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 0-3 HT 0-2 Haka Haka FİN
08.09.2017 Gnistan Gnistan 1-1 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN2
19.07.2017 Haka Haka 2-1 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
17.05.2017 Gnistan Gnistan 0-2 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
2-2
AWAY Gnistan
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haka vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka and Gnistan shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Haka had 54% of the ball to Gnistan's 46%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haka had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Haka and 1.17 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of Haka vs Gnistan?

Haka 2-2 Gnistan in the Finland - League Cup on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Haka 33%, draw 33%, Gnistan 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gnistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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