Haka vs Gnistan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Haka v Gnistan — Team-Based Signals
Haka vs Gnistan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Haka
FİN2
2-1
HT 1-0
Gnistan
FİN2
Haka 3-2 Gnistan — Actual Match Statistics
Haka edged past Gnistan 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Haka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Haka had 56% of the ball to Gnistan's 44%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 3.06 to 1.62 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Haka's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haka had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Haka and 1.50 for Gnistan.
What was the final score of Haka vs Gnistan?
Haka 3-2 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Haka vs Gnistan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Haka 34%, draw 28%, Gnistan 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gnistan) went the other way.