VPS vs Oulu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
VPS v Oulu — Team-Based Signals
VPS vs Oulu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Oulu
FİN
0-0
HT 0-0
VPS
FİK
VPS 4-3 Oulu — Actual Match Statistics
VPS edged past Oulu 4-3. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had VPS as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, VPS had 60% of the ball to Oulu's 40%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 3.94 to 1.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold VPS's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for VPS and 0.67 for Oulu.
What was the final score of VPS vs Oulu?
VPS 4-3 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for VPS vs Oulu?
Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split VPS 47%, draw 23%, Oulu 30%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VPS), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.