VPS 1-1 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 19 Jun 2024

VPS
1-1 HT 1-1
Oulu
📅19/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.93
2-3 Goals
34%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.15
6+ Goals
13%
10.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.94
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.25
X/1
16%
3.76
X/2
12%
11.15
X/X
7%
5.88
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
7%
8.58
2/X
9%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.2pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
2.33/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/2.04
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 81%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.8 Crosses 15.2
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Oulu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.21 xG 0.78
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
284 Passes 422
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-2 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
17.02.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FLK
15.07.2023 VPS VPS 3-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
22.06.2023 Oulu Oulu 0-0 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİK
13.05.2023 Oulu Oulu 2-1 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
11.02.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
1-1
AWAY Oulu
0.96 xG 1.02
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 1
438 Passes 286
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VPS vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS and Oulu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had VPS at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, VPS had 59% of the ball to Oulu's 41%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.96 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for VPS and 0.83 for Oulu.

What was the final score of VPS vs Oulu?

VPS 1-1 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split VPS 56%, draw 21%, Oulu 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VPS) ✗ Over 2.5
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