EIF 1-2 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 19 Jun 2024

📅19/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.39
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 36% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.28
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
12%
5.79
X/2
13%
5.14
X/X
16%
3.95
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.62
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.1pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EIF EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EIF
2W-0D-2L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.75 xG 1.32
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
243 Passes 413
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 23
7 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 3-2 HT 2-2 EIF EIF FİN
17.02.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-2 HT 0-1 EIF EIF FLK
02.03.2018 EIF EIF 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİK
18.02.2017 EIF EIF 0-1 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EIF
1-2
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
0.91 xG 2.82
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
250 Passes 430
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 39
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH EIF vs IFK Mariehamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn squeezed past EIF 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 33% — and on the day IFK Mariehamn made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, EIF had 39% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 61%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.91 to 2.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold IFK Mariehamn's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for EIF and 1.25 for IFK Mariehamn.

What was the final score of EIF vs IFK Mariehamn?

EIF 1-2 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EIF vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a EIF win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split EIF 36%, draw 32%, IFK Mariehamn 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (EIF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
19 Jun 2024
21:00 Haka vs Inter Turku Analysis →
21:00 FC Lahti vs Gnistan Analysis →
21:00 HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio Analysis →
21:00 VPS vs Oulu Analysis →
21:00 Ilves Tampere vs SJK Seinajoki Analysis →