HJK Helsinki 3-1 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 19 Jun 2024

📅19/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.4
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
15%
4.95
X/2
12%
6.01
X/X
11%
4.11
2/1
5%
30.0
2/2
20%
4.48
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +21%
1.43/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.86
+9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.8 Crosses 17.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
0W-2D-4L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.00 xG 1.07
49% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
369 Passes 337
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
21.10.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-2 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
03.09.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-2 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
05.05.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 1-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
18.03.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-1 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
16.10.2022 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
3-1
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.99 xG 0.82
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
373 Passes 469
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki got the better of KuPS Kuopio 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; HJK Helsinki found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 45% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 55%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.99 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.83 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio?

HJK Helsinki 3-1 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 36%, draw 25%, KuPS Kuopio 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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