Ilves Tampere 2-2 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 19 Jun 2024

📅19/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.63
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
16%
4.32
X/2
12%
8.83
X/X
5%
5.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.9
2/2
12%
6.05
2/X
10%
14.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.9 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.73/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.53
-4% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
20.3 Crosses 21.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
0W-1D-5L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.35 xG 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
347 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-4 HT 2-2 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİK
19.04.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
24.02.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-1 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
01.07.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
13.05.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
25.02.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-2 HT 0-2 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
2-2
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
2.25 xG 0.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
481 Passes 411
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere and SJK Seinajoki shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ilves Tampere at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 53% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 47%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.25 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ilves Tampere and 2.00 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs SJK Seinajoki?

Ilves Tampere 2-2 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 47%, draw 23%, SJK Seinajoki 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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