Ilves Tampere 2-4 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 27% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.49
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
17%
4.58
X/2
8%
7.98
X/X
9%
5.45
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
15%
5.39
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.3pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.41/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.71
-26% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
0W-2D-4L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.35 xG 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
347 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
24.02.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-1 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
01.07.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
13.05.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
25.02.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-2 HT 0-2 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FLK
17.07.2022 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-3 HT 1-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
2-4
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 19
12 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki beat Ilves Tampere 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ilves Tampere at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 62% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 38%, shots finished 17-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.83 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs SJK Seinajoki?

Ilves Tampere 2-4 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 48%, draw 23%, SJK Seinajoki 29%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5
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