TPS Turku 1-0 Mikkeli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
27%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
23%
4.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.06
6+ Goals
13%
9.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 23% vs market 19.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
68%
-17.1pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
13%
+14.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mikkeli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.06.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-3 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
20.04.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-0 HT 1-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
07.10.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-1 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINY
02.09.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-1 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
15.06.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-1 HT 1-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
12.08.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-0 HT 0-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
1-0
AWAY Mikkeli
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs Mikkeli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku edged past Mikkeli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had TPS Turku as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, TPS Turku had 69% of the ball to Mikkeli's 31%, shots finished 17-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for TPS Turku and 0.50 for Mikkeli.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs Mikkeli?

TPS Turku 1-0 Mikkeli in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs Mikkeli?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 51%, draw 22%, Mikkeli 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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