Oulu 5-1 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 15 Jun 2024

Oulu
5-1 HT 4-0
KaPa
📅15/06/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.3
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
31%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.59
Over 2.5
67%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
8.62
2-3 Goals
40%
2.38
4-5 Goals
29%
2.37
6+ Goals
15%
3.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
72%
-24.3pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.6pp
31%
Away Win
11%
+19.7pp
33%
Under 2.5
24%
+8.6pp
67%
Over 2.5
76%
-8.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.6pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.53/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
437 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
5-1
AWAY KaPa
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oulu vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu ran out comfortable winners over KaPa 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oulu as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Oulu had 55% of the ball to KaPa's 45%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Oulu vs KaPa?

Oulu 5-1 KaPa in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Oulu 48%, draw 21%, KaPa 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oulu), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oulu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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