Mikkeli 0-3 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
57%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.75
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 25% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
57%
Away Win
60%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 64%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
0.98/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.10
-10% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
263 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mikkeli
1W-2D-3L
AWAY TPS Turku
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-0 HT 1-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
07.10.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-1 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINY
02.09.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-1 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
15.06.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-1 HT 1-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
12.08.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-0 HT 0-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
10.06.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-1 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mikkeli
0-3
AWAY TPS Turku
36% Ball Possession 64%
2 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mikkeli vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku cruised past Mikkeli 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had TPS Turku as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Mikkeli had 36% of the ball to TPS Turku's 64%, shots finished 2-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mikkeli and 1.00 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of Mikkeli vs TPS Turku?

Mikkeli 0-3 TPS Turku in the Finland - Ykkönen on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 18%, draw 25%, TPS Turku 57%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
12 Jun 2024
18:30 KTP Kotka vs JIPPO Analysis →
18:30 SalPa Salo vs KaPa Analysis →
18:30 Jaro vs SJK Akatemia Analysis →
18:30 VIFK Vaasa vs RoPS Analysis →
19:00 Atlantis vs KuPS Ak. Analysis →