SalPa Salo 1-1 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 28% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.1pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.49/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.35
-17% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY KaPa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
02.03.2024 KaPa KaPa 0-2 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINYK
01.10.2023 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINY
21.07.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 2-0 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
12.05.2023 KaPa KaPa 2-3 HT 2-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
25.07.2014 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 0-1 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
1-1
AWAY KaPa
50% Ball Possession 50%
25 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SalPa Salo and KaPa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was SalPa Salo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 50% of the ball to KaPa's 50%, shots finished 25-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SalPa Salo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SalPa Salo and 0.83 for KaPa.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs KaPa?

SalPa Salo 1-1 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a SalPa Salo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 48%, draw 24%, KaPa 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SalPa Salo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SalPa Salo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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