KTP Kotka 2-1 JIPPO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.44
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 25% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY JIPPO EU Bookmakers 25%
+12% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
2.71/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.09
+28% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +68%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
2W-2D-1L
AWAY JIPPO
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
20.04.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 1-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
03.02.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-1 HT 0-1 JIPPO JIPPO FINYK
04.10.2014 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-0 HT 0-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
03.08.2014 JIPPO JIPPO 1-4 HT 0-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
12.06.2014 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 3-0 HT 3-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
2-1
AWAY JIPPO
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs JIPPO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka nicked a narrow win over JIPPO 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 54% of the ball to JIPPO's 46%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for KTP Kotka and 0.60 for JIPPO.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs JIPPO?

KTP Kotka 2-1 JIPPO in the Finland - Ykkönen on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs JIPPO?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 50%, draw 25%, JIPPO 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✗ BTTS No
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