Jaro 1-1 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.58
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.12/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.79
-9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
3W-1D-2L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-1 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
06.04.2024 Jaro Jaro 1-0 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINYK
25.02.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-2 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FINYK
28.06.2023 Jaro Jaro 0-1 HT 0-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
14.04.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
20.07.2022 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
1-1
AWAY SJK Akatemia
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jaro vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro and SJK Akatemia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Jaro at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Jaro had 48% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 52%, shots finished 14-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jaro had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jaro and 0.67 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of Jaro vs SJK Akatemia?

Jaro 1-1 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykkönen on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Jaro 52%, draw 26%, SJK Akatemia 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jaro) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
12 Jun 2024
18:30 KTP Kotka vs JIPPO Analysis →
18:30 SalPa Salo vs KaPa Analysis →
18:30 Mikkeli vs TPS Turku Analysis →
18:30 VIFK Vaasa vs RoPS Analysis →
19:00 Atlantis vs KuPS Ak. Analysis →