KTP Kotka 0-1 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
9.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.37 — our 27% vs market 18.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.54
1/2
11%
22.0
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
10%
7.99
X/2
13%
4.89
X/X
14%
5.46
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
23%
2.59
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 53%
-20% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +25%
1.05/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.68
-58% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +73%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 81%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
15.2 Crosses 22.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
1W-1D-4L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.87 xG 1.78
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
280 Passes 334
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 3
15.08.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-3 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
22.05.2023 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-2 HT 0-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
14.09.2021 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
03.05.2021 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-1 HT 0-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
20.09.2015 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-3 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
12.07.2015 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
0-1
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.16 xG 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
256 Passes 323
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki squeezed past KTP Kotka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SJK Seinajoki as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 46% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 54%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.16 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for KTP Kotka and 1.67 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs SJK Seinajoki?

KTP Kotka 0-1 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated an SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 26%, draw 27%, SJK Seinajoki 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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