Inter Turku 1-1 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.9
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
15%
5.62
X/2
13%
5.67
X/X
11%
4.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
30.5
2/2
12%
3.94
2/X
6%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 39%
-10% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.81/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.92
+15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
18.5 Crosses 18.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
1W-3D-2L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
260 Passes 436
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-2 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
01.09.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
19.04.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
30.03.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-2 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
23.09.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
17.07.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
1-1
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.66 xG 0.13
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
438 Passes 362
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
51 Box Touches 6
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku and KuPS Kuopio shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Turku at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Inter Turku had 54% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 46%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.66 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Inter Turku and 1.33 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs KuPS Kuopio?

Inter Turku 1-1 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 42%, draw 27%, KuPS Kuopio 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Turku) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ BTTS Yes
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