KuPS Kuopio 1-2 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.68
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
8%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 26% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.29
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.35
X/1
23%
4.11
X/2
11%
8.79
X/X
8%
5.25
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
12%
6.57
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -22%
1.61/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.68
-15% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
454 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
22.2 Crosses 16.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 1.27
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
445 Passes 244
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
30.03.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-2 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
23.09.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
17.07.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
05.04.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-2 HT 1-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
09.10.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
1-2
AWAY Inter Turku
1.02 xG 0.98
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
445 Passes 287
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 30
32 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku edged past KuPS Kuopio 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was KuPS Kuopio at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 60% of the ball to Inter Turku's 40%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.02 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 1.00 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Inter Turku?

KuPS Kuopio 1-2 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 48%, draw 23%, Inter Turku 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ BTTS No
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