Haka 1-1 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.13
2-3 Goals
46%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.68
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
13%
4.72
X/2
13%
7.37
X/X
11%
5.2
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.7
2/2
13%
5.0
2/X
8%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.68/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.35
+5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +51%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
347 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 83%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
24.7 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Lahti
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.20 xG 1.87
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
255 Passes 377
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-1 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
20.01.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-0 Haka Haka HAZ
01.10.2023 Haka Haka 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
30.07.2023 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
11.06.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
11.09.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-1 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
1-1
AWAY FC Lahti
0.80 xG 0.91
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
379 Passes 243
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Haka vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka and FC Lahti shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Haka at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Haka had 59% of the ball to FC Lahti's 41%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 0.80 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Haka and 0.67 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of Haka vs FC Lahti?

Haka 1-1 FC Lahti in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Haka 43%, draw 27%, FC Lahti 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Haka), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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