Gnistan 1-1 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 1 Sep 2024

Gnistan
1-1 HT 0-0
Ilves Tampere
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2024

Gnistan vs Ilves Tampere Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.14
2-3 Goals
43%
1.96
4-5 Goals
22%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
7.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.31
1/2
7%
21.85
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
12.8
X/1
8%
6.96
X/2
16%
5.1
X/X
11%
5.72
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
13%
2.8
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 1/X at 12.8 — our 12% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.9pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.7pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gnistan v Ilves Tampere — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +17%
1.02/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.18
-5% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +88%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
232 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
18.4 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Gnistan vs Ilves Tampere Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
2.28 xG 2.48
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
194 Passes 473
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 4-6 HT 2-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN

Gnistan 1-1 Ilves Tampere — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
1-1
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.29 xG 1.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
232 Passes 351
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan and Ilves Tampere couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Gnistan had 44% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 56%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.29 to 1.15.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs Ilves Tampere?

Gnistan 1-1 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 32%, draw 32%, Ilves Tampere 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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