FC Lahti 1-1 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.3
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
11%
13.15
X/1
15%
6.0
X/2
15%
5.1
X/X
7%
4.25
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
19%
3.41
2/X
6%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.34/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.26
-1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.8 Crosses 19.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Haka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.69 xG 1.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 Passes 225
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.01.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-0 Haka Haka HAZ
01.10.2023 Haka Haka 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
30.07.2023 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
11.06.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
11.09.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-1 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
28.05.2022 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
1-1
AWAY Haka
2.43 xG 1.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
25 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 2
300 Passes 344
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
39 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti and Haka shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Haka at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FC Lahti had 48% of the ball to Haka's 52%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 2.43 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Lahti and 0.83 for Haka.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs Haka?

FC Lahti 1-1 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 35%, draw 24%, Haka 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Haka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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