IFK Mariehamn 0-2 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 5 Apr 2025

IFK Mariehamn
0-2 HT 0-1
Jaro
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2025

IFK Mariehamn vs Jaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
4.89
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.27
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
20%
4.78
X/2
11%
6.45
X/X
13%
4.03
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
11%
5.16
2/X
8%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Mariehamn v Jaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
1.15/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.10
-20% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +20%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.7 Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

IFK Mariehamn vs Jaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jaro
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
17.09.2015 Jaro Jaro 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
19.07.2015 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 4-3 HT 3-1 Jaro Jaro FİN
12.04.2015 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
18.10.2014 Jaro Jaro 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
15.06.2014 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 4-2 HT 1-2 Jaro Jaro FİN
27.04.2014 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-3 HT 1-1 Jaro Jaro FİN

IFK Mariehamn 0-2 Jaro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
0-2
AWAY Jaro
0.60 xG 1.39
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
475 Passes 241
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro saw off IFK Mariehamn 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Mariehamn at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 64% of the ball to Jaro's 36%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.60 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.67 for Jaro.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs Jaro?

IFK Mariehamn 0-2 Jaro in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Mariehamn win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 44%, draw 27%, Jaro 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (IFK Mariehamn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Mariehamn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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