Inter Turku 1-2 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
38%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
19.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 34% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
6.25
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
8%
7.87
X/2
13%
4.24
X/X
18%
4.28
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.61
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.5pp
38%
Away Win
49%
-10.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 52%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
0.97/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.46
-34% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
2W-3D-1L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 1.44
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
253 Passes 445
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
19.04.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
30.03.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-2 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
23.09.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
17.07.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
05.04.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-2 HT 1-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio squeezed past Inter Turku 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 32% / 38%) promised a tight game; KuPS Kuopio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Inter Turku and 1.17 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs KuPS Kuopio?

Inter Turku 1-2 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 30%, draw 32%, KuPS Kuopio 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →