Stromsgodset 2-3 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 13 Jul 2025

Stromsgodset
2-3 HT 1-2
Tromsö
📅13/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Stromsgodset vs Tromsö Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.92
2-3 Goals
34%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
3.28
6+ Goals
13%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.28
1/2
8%
23.3
1/X
10%
13.55
X/1
8%
7.52
X/2
17%
4.95
X/X
10%
5.11
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
20%
2.76
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stromsgodset v Tromsö — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.58/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.81
+16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.1 Crosses 12.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4

Stromsgodset vs Tromsö Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Tromsö
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.26 xG 1.44
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
433 Passes 355
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.11.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 2-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
21.07.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-1 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
05.11.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 0-1 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
30.04.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-1 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
09.10.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-2 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
31.08.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR

Stromsgodset 2-3 Tromsö — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
2-3
AWAY Tromsö
1.26 xG 2.84
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
380 Passes 566
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 53
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö nicked a narrow win over Stromsgodset 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 42% of the ball to Tromsö's 58%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 1.26 to 2.84 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tromsö's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Stromsgodset and 1.17 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Tromsö?

Stromsgodset 2-3 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 29%, draw 27%, Tromsö 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR More Norway - Eliteserien
13 Jul 2025
15:30 Bryne vs Valerenga Analysis →
18:00 Kristiansund BK vs Sarpsborg 08 Analysis →
18:00 Rosenborg vs HamKam Analysis →
18:00 Haugesund vs KFUM Oslo Analysis →
20:15 Brann vs Viking Analysis →