Ayacucho FC 1-0 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayacucho FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
0.83/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.11
+17% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.5 Crosses 21.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayacucho FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cienciano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.08 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
221 Passes 232
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.07.2022 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
05.03.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 3-1 HT 0-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
22.10.2021 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
24.04.2021 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
29.02.2020 Cienciano Cienciano 1-4 HT 1-1 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
15.11.2015 Cienciano Cienciano 1-1 HT 1-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayacucho FC
1-0
AWAY Cienciano
1.30 xG 0.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
210 Passes 259
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ayacucho FC vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayacucho FC edged past Cienciano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Ayacucho FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ayacucho FC had 45% of the ball to Cienciano's 55%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.30 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ayacucho FC and 1.67 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of Ayacucho FC vs Cienciano?

Ayacucho FC 1-0 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayacucho FC vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ayacucho FC 35%, draw 27%, Cienciano 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cienciano), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cienciano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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