Juan Pablo II College 1-0 Alianza Universidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juan Pablo II College EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Universidad EU Bookmakers 30%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
3.40/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.25
+115% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
20.3 Crosses 13.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juan Pablo II College
1-0
AWAY Alianza Universidad
1.46 xG 0.70
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
321 Passes 361
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Universidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juan Pablo II College squeezed past Alianza Universidad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Juan Pablo II College as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Juan Pablo II College had 47% of the ball to Alianza Universidad's 53%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.46 to 0.70.

What was the final score of Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Universidad?

Juan Pablo II College 1-0 Alianza Universidad in the Peru - Premier League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Universidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juan Pablo II College win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Juan Pablo II College 44%, draw 28%, Alianza Universidad 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juan Pablo II College), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juan Pablo II College) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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