Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Cristal v Atletico Grau — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
2-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Grau
PER
1-2
HT 0-1
Atletico Grau
PER
0-2
HT 0-1
Sporting Cristal
PER
Sporting Cristal 2-1 Atletico Grau — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Cristal edged past Atletico Grau 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Sporting Cristal had 65% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 35%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.02 to 0.84.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.00 for Atletico Grau.
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?
Sporting Cristal 2-1 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 50%, draw 29%, Atletico Grau 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.