North Carolina II 4-1 Wake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.3
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
27%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
72%
-16.2pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
12%
+15.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Carolina II EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Wake EU Bookmakers 15%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
0.74/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/1.55
-72% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +123% / +72%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
376 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North Carolina II
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Wake
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.06.2025 Wake Wake 2-3 HT 0-0 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
06.07.2024 North Carolina II North Carolina II 1-3 HT 1-3 Wake Wake USL2
13.06.2024 Wake Wake 2-3 HT 0-2 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
10.06.2023 North Carolina II North Carolina II 0-1 HT 0-1 Wake Wake USL2
01.06.2023 Wake Wake 2-2 HT 0-0 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
POST-MATCH North Carolina II vs Wake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina II swept aside Wake 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had North Carolina II as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for North Carolina II and 2.00 for Wake.

What was the final score of North Carolina II vs Wake?

North Carolina II 4-1 Wake in the USA - USL League 2 on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Carolina II vs Wake?

Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina II win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split North Carolina II 56%, draw 17%, Wake 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North Carolina II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (North Carolina II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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