Albion Rovers 3-4 Cowdenbeath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.6
No
56%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.2pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albion Rovers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cowdenbeath EU Bookmakers 33%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
0.00/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.98
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -64%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albion Rovers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cowdenbeath
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
30.04.2022 Cowdenbeath Cowdenbeath 0-1 HT 0-0 Albion Rovers Albion Rovers İK2
29.01.2022 Albion Rovers Albion Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Cowdenbeath Cowdenbeath İK2
18.12.2021 Cowdenbeath Cowdenbeath 0-0 HT 0-0 Albion Rovers Albion Rovers İK2
11.09.2021 Albion Rovers Albion Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Cowdenbeath Cowdenbeath İK2
04.05.2021 Cowdenbeath Cowdenbeath 2-0 HT 1-0 Albion Rovers Albion Rovers İSK2
13.04.2021 Albion Rovers Albion Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Cowdenbeath Cowdenbeath İK2
POST-MATCH Albion Rovers vs Cowdenbeath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cowdenbeath nicked a narrow win over Albion Rovers 4-3 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Cowdenbeath found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Albion Rovers and 0.67 for Cowdenbeath.

What was the final score of Albion Rovers vs Cowdenbeath?

Albion Rovers 3-4 Cowdenbeath in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albion Rovers vs Cowdenbeath?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albion Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Albion Rovers 40%, draw 25%, Cowdenbeath 35%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Albion Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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