Stranraer 2-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
382 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
30.03.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 1-1 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
03.02.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
16.12.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
19.08.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
01.04.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
11.02.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 0-1 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Stranraer vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stranraer edged past Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Stranraer found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stranraer and 0.83 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Stranraer 2-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stranraer win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 38%, draw 25%, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stranraer), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stranraer) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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