Dumbarton 4-0 Berwick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
77%
-10.5pp
16%
Draw
14%
+1.4pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Berwick Rangers EU Bookmakers 11%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.41
+19% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
498 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 193 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Berwick Rangers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
30.11.2013 Berwick Rangers Berwick Rangers 1-3 HT 1-2 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKK
09.08.2011 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-2 HT 0-0 Berwick Rangers Berwick Rangers İKCK
11.04.2009 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-0 HT 1-0 Berwick Rangers Berwick Rangers İK2
24.01.2009 Berwick Rangers Berwick Rangers 1-2 HT 1-2 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
01.11.2008 Dumbarton Dumbarton 5-2 HT 3-1 Berwick Rangers Berwick Rangers İK2
16.08.2008 Berwick Rangers Berwick Rangers 1-2 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Berwick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton swept aside Berwick Rangers 4-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dumbarton as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dumbarton and 1.17 for Berwick Rangers.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Berwick Rangers?

Dumbarton 4-0 Berwick Rangers in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Berwick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 67%, draw 16%, Berwick Rangers 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dumbarton), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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