Goias 2-1 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 13 Aug 2024

Goias
2-1 HT 1-1
Ceara
📅13/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.92
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.17/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.23
+20% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
24.2 Crosses 18.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Ceara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.13 xG 1.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
257 Passes 312
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Ceara Ceara 1-1 HT 1-1 Goias Goias BR2
06.10.2022 Ceara Ceara 1-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1
12.06.2022 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 0-1 Ceara Ceara BR1
22.01.2021 Goias Goias 0-4 HT 0-2 Ceara Ceara BR1
28.09.2020 Ceara Ceara 2-2 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR1
06.10.2019 Ceara Ceara 0-1 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
2-1
AWAY Ceara
2.81 xG 1.02
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 8
331 Passes 168
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
27 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Goias vs Ceara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias squeezed past Ceara 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Goias made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Goias had 60% of the ball to Ceara's 40%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.81 to 1.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Goias's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Goias and 1.50 for Ceara.

What was the final score of Goias vs Ceara?

Goias 2-1 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Ceara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Goias 38%, draw 32%, Ceara 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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