Guarani FC 2-0 Vila Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
5.69
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guarani FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -5%
1.22/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.02
+1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
22.5 Crosses 14.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guarani FC
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Vila Nova
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.77 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 Passes 286
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.04.2024 Vila Nova Vila Nova 2-0 HT 1-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
08.10.2023 Guarani FC Guarani FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
10.06.2023 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-0 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
07.09.2022 Vila Nova Vila Nova 2-1 HT 0-1 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
03.06.2022 Guarani FC Guarani FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
16.03.2022 Guarani FC Guarani FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Vila Nova Vila Nova BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guarani FC
2-0
AWAY Vila Nova
1.95 xG 0.23
38% Ball Possession 62%
19 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
204 Passes 403
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Guarani FC vs Vila Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guarani FC saw off Vila Nova 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Guarani FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Guarani FC had 38% of the ball to Vila Nova's 62%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.95 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vila Nova led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guarani FC and 1.33 for Vila Nova.

What was the final score of Guarani FC vs Vila Nova?

Guarani FC 2-0 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guarani FC vs Vila Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guarani FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Guarani FC 40%, draw 30%, Vila Nova 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guarani FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guarani FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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13 Aug 2024
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