Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
49%
Away Win
43%
+5.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.2pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 48%
-15% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.08/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.91
-37% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +64%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fylkir
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.06.2025 Fylkir Fylkir 1-2 HT 0-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
03.08.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 0-0 HT 0-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL
16.05.2021 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 3-0 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
06.03.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 0-1 HT 0-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZLK
20.09.2015 Fylkir Fylkir 3-1 HT 3-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL
22.06.2015 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
1-0
AWAY Fylkir
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiknir Reykjavik edged past Fylkir 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fylkir at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leiknir Reykjavik had 43% of the ball to Fylkir's 57%, shots finished 3-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiknir Reykjavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 0.83 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir?

Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 Fylkir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fylkir win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 29%, draw 22%, Fylkir 49%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fylkir) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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