UMF Selfoss 3-0 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
52%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
52%
Away Win
52%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 56%
-16% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.25/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.76
-14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -35%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UMF Selfoss
1W-0D-5L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
04.06.2025 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 4-1 HT 2-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
21.07.2022 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 1-2 HT 1-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
05.05.2022 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-3 HT 2-2 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
23.07.2015 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 4-0 HT 3-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
15.05.2015 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 0-1 HT 0-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
07.08.2014 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 0-6 HT 0-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
POST-MATCH UMF Selfoss vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Selfoss ran out comfortable winners over HK Kopavogur 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was HK Kopavogur at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HK Kopavogur led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UMF Selfoss and 3.17 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of UMF Selfoss vs HK Kopavogur?

UMF Selfoss 3-0 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - 1st Division on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Selfoss vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated an HK Kopavogur win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split UMF Selfoss 24%, draw 24%, HK Kopavogur 52%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HK Kopavogur) ✗ BTTS Yes
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