Keflavik 4-0 Grindavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.42
Draw
12%
4.81
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
66%
+4.5pp
12%
Draw
18%
-5.5pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.1pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Grindavik EU Bookmakers 19%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
2.47/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/3.04
-1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
392 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Grindavik
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.07.2025 Grindavik Grindavik 1-4 HT 1-2 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
08.08.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 2-1 HT 1-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
31.05.2024 Grindavik Grindavik 2-2 HT 1-2 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
01.03.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 3-3 HT 2-2 Grindavik Grindavik İZLK
23.07.2018 Grindavik Grindavik 3-0 HT 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
07.05.2018 Keflavik Keflavik 0-2 HT 0-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Grindavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik swept aside Grindavik 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Keflavik as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (72%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Keflavik and 2.00 for Grindavik.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Grindavik?

Keflavik 4-0 Grindavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Grindavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 71%, draw 12%, Grindavik 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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