Madagaskar 2-0 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Championship, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.22
2-3 Goals
34%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.92
6+ Goals
6%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madagaskar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 33%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
0.89/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/3.10
+144% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / -85%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
8.0 Crosses 14.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madagaskar
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.03.2025 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 1-4 HT 1-2 Madagaskar Madagaskar DKE
27.03.2023 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 2-0 HT 1-0 Madagaskar Madagaskar AFUK
23.03.2023 Madagaskar Madagaskar 0-3 HT 0-2 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madagaskar
2-0
AWAY Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti
2.08 xG 1.31
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
312 Passes 196
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Madagaskar vs Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madagaskar beat Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Madagaskar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Madagaskar had 57% of the ball to Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti's 43%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.08 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Madagaskar and 2.00 for Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti.

What was the final score of Madagaskar vs Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti?

Madagaskar 2-0 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti in the Afrika Uluslar Championship on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madagaskar vs Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madagaskar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Madagaskar 38%, draw 31%, Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madagaskar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Madagaskar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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