Moritanya 1-0 Burkina Faso — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — African Nations Championship (CHAN), 13 Aug 2025

Moritanya DLDLW→
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Burkina Faso WWLLW→
📅13/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
African Nations Championship (CHAN) – 2024

Moritanya vs Burkina Faso Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
33%
3.02
Away
41%
2.1
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
66%
1.52
Over
34%
2.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.17
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2.07
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
13%
5.45
6+
2%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
22%
2/1
1%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PICK this match carries Gold / Silver / Bronze pattern picks — free account to see which outcomes.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Moritanya v Burkina Faso — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Moritanya The Market 30%
Signal
AWAY Burkina Faso The Market 48%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.70 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
1.07 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.12
Bad Attack Strength –
Great Defense Strength –
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12 Crosses –
1 Yellow Cards –

Moritanya vs Burkina Faso Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moritanya
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Burkina Faso
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.55 xG 1.13
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
165 Passes 332
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.01.2024 Burkina Faso Burkina Faso 1-0 HT 0-0 Moritanya Moritanya AFUK
17.10.2023 Moritanya Moritanya 1-2 Burkina Faso Burkina Faso HAZ
22.03.2019 Burkina Faso Burkina Faso 1-0 HT 1-0 Moritanya Moritanya AFUK
08.09.2018 Moritanya Moritanya 2-0 HT 2-0 Burkina Faso Burkina Faso AFUK

Moritanya 1-0 Burkina Faso — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moritanya
1 - 0
AWAY Burkina Faso
1.24 xG 1.13
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
358 Passes 193
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
9 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Moritanya vs Burkina Faso
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Moritanya edged past Burkina Faso 1-0.

We leaned Burkina Faso at 41% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The market had leaned harder still (2.10, ~48%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (57%) landed.

On the day, Moritanya had 60% of the ball to Burkina Faso's 40%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.24 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Burkina Faso led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Moritanya and 1.00 for Burkina Faso.

Moritanya vs Burkina Faso Result & Final Score

Moritanya 1 - 0 Burkina Faso in the African Nations Championship (CHAN) on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Moritanya vs Burkina Faso Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Burkina Faso win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Moritanya 26%, draw 33%, Burkina Faso 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burkina Faso) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burkina Faso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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