Moritanya vs Burkina Faso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Moritanya v Burkina Faso — Team-Based Signals
Moritanya vs Burkina Faso Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-2
Burkina Faso
HAZ
1-0
HT 1-0
Moritanya
AFUK
2-0
HT 2-0
Burkina Faso
AFUK
Moritanya 1-0 Burkina Faso — Actual Match Statistics
Moritanya edged past Burkina Faso 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Moritanya made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Moritanya had 60% of the ball to Burkina Faso's 40%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.24 to 1.13.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Burkina Faso led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Moritanya and 1.00 for Burkina Faso.
What was the final score of Moritanya vs Burkina Faso?
Moritanya 1-0 Burkina Faso in the Afrika Uluslar Championship on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Moritanya vs Burkina Faso?
Before kick-off our model rated an Burkina Faso win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Moritanya 33%, draw 31%, Burkina Faso 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burkina Faso) went the other way.